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28/11/2025

Stace Outlook Index, Q4 2025

The Stace Outlook Index brings you the latest updates on the UK economy, the industry and Tender Price Index (TPI) forecasts.

Stable but Stuck

The Stace Outlook Index brings you the latest updates on the UK economy, the industry and Tender Price Index (TPI) forecasts.

The UK economy remains stuck in a low-growth cycle, with modest expansion masking fragility. GDP rose just 0.1% in Q3 2025 after the 0.3% rise in Q2, confirming the post-election rebound has faded. Business investment has become subdued, hiring has slowed, and consumer confidence and spending are now constrained by high borrowing costs and fiscal uncertainty. Government reforms to the Building Safety Regulator and planning aim to boost activity. 

In this report, we will explore the UK’s economic conditions, inflation trends, investment challenges, and sector performance.

View the Stace Outlook Index

Sources:

ONS, UK Economic Data

ONS, Construction Data

BCIS

S&P Global/CIPS

DBT

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